Angus King might caucus with Republicans in 2015

Story: http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/203161-king-may-flip-to-gop-in-2015.

This development makes a Republican takeover of the senate even more likely than it already is at this moment. If King switches sides, Republicans only need to gain five seats.

Montana, South Dakota, and West Virginia are almost certainly going to be Republican pickups. The races in Alaska, Arkansas, Colorado, Iowa, Louisiana, Michigan, New Hampshire, and North Carolina are all plausibly winnable. If King switches sides, the Republicans only need to win in two of those states to take the senate.

Fivethirtyeight's senate model, updated a couple weeks ago, favors Republicans to win in Arkansas and Louisiana (in addition to retaining Georgia and Kentucky, the only vulnerable Republican seats in the 2014 cycle) with even odds in Alaska. That model here: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/fivethirtyeight-senate-forecast/.

Will Obamacare rebound before November to turn all of this around, or is Obama poised for an exceedingly difficult final two years in office?

Padawanbater2 said:

What do you think a Republican majority in the Senate will do to the AFA?

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What is the AFA? My googling yields nothing that sounds like a law.

Padawanbater2 said:

ACA, Affordable Care Act, my mistake

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In that case, I presume Obama would veto anything the Republicans do to the ACA (unless everyone gets together and tries to fix/patch certain parts viewed as objectionable by people on both sides). The Republicans would need 67 votes in the senate to defeat a veto. Even if they swept the competitive races and won almost all of them they'd have little chance of hitting that number. There wouldn't be enough vulnerable Democrats left in the chamber willing to turn their backs on the law.

i'm thinking two years of non-stop abortion bills and religious bigotry protection laws from the senate and house might be enough to keep a democrat in the white house in 2016.

republicans don't fare well at all when more people come out to vote.