The Junk Drawer

Roger A. Shrubber

Well-Known Member

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
For the crypto suckers...


Actor rips crypto as 'largest Ponzi scheme in history'

en McKenzie, of "The OC" and "Gotham," has been one of the most prominent critics of celebrities endorsing the controversial and booming cryptocurrency industry. He says he has been warning against the dangers of celebrities endorsing cryptocurrency for some time. Hear why he says he became a skeptic and how he feels now.
 
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DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
I figure with telescopes and other instruments in space we will have a much clearer picture of our stellar neighborhood at least out to several dozen light years. We should be able to detect biospheres at that distance, earth like analogs over a statistically significant potion of our galaxy, enough to make inferences. We would do this by spectroscopic examination of an exoplanet's atmosphere, looking for free oxygen and other by products of life including things like natural fires or even industrial pollution.

We will have the ability to image exoplanets and know what is in a star system without going there, even if we could. I expect this picture to emerge over the next 30 years and it will help answer if there is anybody or anything else alive out there. We will have a sample of the galaxy by then, enough of one to draw conclusions or rework the Drake equation with more solid numbers on the prevalence of life. Other factors are becoming know better in the Drake equation, a simple linear formula for structured speculation. It was the basis for an agenda of an early meeting on SETI in the early 60's.
Have some fun and plug in yer own numbers to come up with startrek!


 

cannabineer

Ursus marijanus
I figure with telescopes and other instruments in space we will have a much clearer picture of our stellar neighborhood at least out to several dozen light years. We should be able to detect biospheres at that distance, earth like analogs over a statistically significant potion of our galaxy, enough to make inferences. We would do this by spectroscopic examination of an exoplanet's atmosphere, looking for free oxygen and other by products of life including things like natural fires or even industrial pollution.

We will have the ability to image exoplanets and know what is in a star system without going there, even if we could. I expect this picture to emerge over the next 30 years and it will help answer if there is anybody or anything else alive out there. We will have a sample of the galaxy by then, enough of one to draw conclusions or rework the Drake equation with more solid numbers on the prevalence of life. Other factors are becoming know better in the Drake equation, a simple linear formula for structured speculation. It was the basis for an agenda of an early meeting on SETI in the early 60's.
Have some fun and plug in yer own numbers to come up with startrek!


the Drake equation is the product of very drunk grad students.
 

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
Someone stupid is in very deep shit with the FAA, no pilot's license either I'll bet. This is why there are crippling regulations on the hobby and industry, they can be used as weapons of war too. It used to be you had to build your own, then commercial ones became available and they were easy to fly with flight control computers making them accessible to morons too.

 

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
did they?
For awhile and today they have the SETI institute that gets government funding too. HOWEVER, if we discover a half dozen biospheres or even one like earth within a couple of dozen light years, you can start working those drake equation factors further to the right and plugging in more numbers with greater confidence, the probabilities change. Then one might reassess the value of SETI efforts with greater confidence. We may be alone, there maybe millions of biospheres without civilizations, life could be common and so could complex life.

It happened fast here on earth, as soon as the hot rock cooled enough, off she went, but 3/4 of the past 4 billion has been single cell, life only crawled out of the sea a few hundred million years ago and man only evolved in the past million years or so and last couple of hundred thousand in recognizable form. So perhaps the same rough ratios apply on other worlds, life either forms or arrives from nearby fast and stays single cell for a long time. Perhaps only one in four life bearing planets is not a slime world! Of those a certain percentage have terrestrial or animal life on their surfaces and so on. We have an example of one, but soon we will have more, or not, if we have more then we have some data to work with, the more the better.
 

cannabineer

Ursus marijanus
For awhile and today they have the SETI institute that gets government funding too. HOWEVER, if we discover a half dozen biospheres or even one like earth within a couple of dozen light years, you can start working those drake equation factors further to the right and plugging in more numbers with greater confidence, the probabilities change. Then one might reassess the value of SETI efforts with greater confidence. We may be alone, there maybe millions of biospheres without civilizations, life could be common and so could complex life.

It happened fast here on earth, as soon as the hot rock cooled enough, off she went, but 3/4 of the past 4 billion has been single cell, life only crawled out of the sea a few hundred million years ago and man only evolved in the past million years or so and last couple of hundred thousand in recognizable form. So perhaps the same rough ratios apply on other worlds, life either forms or arrives from nearby fast and stays single cell for a long time. Perhaps only one in four life bearing planets is not a slime world! Of those a certain percentage have terrestrial or animal life on their surfaces and so on. We have an example of one, but soon we will have more, or not, if we have more then we have some data to work with, the more the better.
who funded whom!? I find it hard to believe.
 

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
who funded whom!? I find it hard to believe.
They had government funding until the 70's and used to piggyback off of radio telescopes mostly. They formed the SETI institute and do other research under contract and now run the Allan telescope array among others that is used for regular astronomy work too. They are scientists, real ones and part of the astronomical community, NASA might use them for life on mars stuff or Europa stuff.

 

cannabineer

Ursus marijanus
They had government funding until the 70's and used to piggyback off of radio telescopes mostly. They formed the SETI institute and do other research under contract and now run the Allan telescope array among others that is used for regular astronomy work too. They are scientists, real ones and part of the astronomical community, NASA might use them for life on mars stuff or Europa stuff.

No; I am asking specifically who got funding for the Drake equation proper. Seti is way far too general. Piggybacking off observational assets does not address funding the Drake theoreticians, if you want to call them that.
 

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
No; I am asking specifically who got funding for the Drake equation proper. Seti is way far too general.
As I recall there was a seminal meeting at the Greenbank observatory of interested astronomers in the very early 60s. Frank Drake was one of the radio astronomer organizers and wrote out the formula as a logical form of speculation to guide the agenda for the discussion on possible detection methodologies. I'm not sure anybody "paid" for it, it was just a simple formula to guide discussion. Nobody tried to answer the Fermi paradox, where are they? Well we could be them I suppose, a million or two years down the road, or something we create that replaces us could be more likely!
 

cannabineer

Ursus marijanus
As I recall there was a seminal meeting at the Greenbank observatory of interested astronomers in the very early 60s. Frank Drake was one of the radio astronomer organizers and wrote out the formula as a logical form of speculation to guide the agenda for the discussion on possible detection methodologies. I'm not sure anybody "paid" for it, it was just a simple formula to guide discussion. Nobody tried to answer the fermi paradox, where are they? Well we could be them I suppose, a million or two years down the road, or something we create that replaces us could be more likely!
Actually, Greg Bear wrote a whole book of stories, and a pair of novels, that took Fermi’s paradox straight on.

The likeliest answer is “hiding because those who don’t get dead”.

We’re noisy.
I worry.
 

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
Actually, Greg Bear wrote a whole book of stories, and a pair of novels, that took Fermi’s paradox straight on.

The likeliest answer is “hiding because those who don’t get dead”.

We’re noisy.
I worry.
I think the distances so vast and the ratio of biospheres to ones with advanced life forms are high and then there is technology. I saw and article about our detection by others being unlikely a few days ago, but didn't bother to read it. Interstellar distances make travel between the stars problematic and one would have to warp spacetime in a bubble compress it in the direction of travel and stretch it out behind you, or be stretched out to the point of cosmic rays from our perspective, if you tried it the old fashioned way and you'd need the energy of a galaxy to do it!
 
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